Anna Dreber Almenberg

Which scientific results can we trust? Using replications and prediction markets to estimate the reliability of results.

Why are there so many false results in the published scientific literature? And what is the actual share of results that do not replicate in different literatures? We will discuss these questions, see what prediction markets might add to the understanding of the reproducibility of results from quantitative studies, and discuss what we can do to increase the reliability of scientific results.

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